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Unpredictability and randomness

Brexit may be a bummer, but I think the world will still turn on its axis.

Posted by Tom on Jun 29, 2016
Authors note—this was written on Saturday and Sunday (June 25th and 26th) . It takes a few days to get from the writing to publishing, as there are a number of approval steps required. The message is still intact, and I think relevant,..
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The “Risk Disconnect:” How Investors and Financial Advisors sometimes talk past each other.

Posted by Tom on Sep 23, 2015
We recently wrote about a benign self-delusion as it relates to investment decision making. We were talking about the illusion of control. You want to see illusions play out? Look at the average person’s, (even the average professional..
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We're all a little bit out of control. Meet the "Illusion of Control."

Posted by Tom on Jul 07, 2015
“Nothing is so difficult as not deceiving oneself.”
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How are investors like the humble Groundhog?

Posted by Tom on Feb 01, 2015
Like the groundhog, entire herds of investors stick up their head just after the end of January, and try to decide what the year will be like. They are just about as accurate, generally. Groundhog day is thought to have its roots in old..
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Bias Basics--cognitive bias and the investor

Posted by Tom on Oct 01, 2014
Investment policy and financial planning is a process that goes beyond the math, into issues of perception. When going through the investment policy and financial planning process, we occasionally get the question, “Haven’t we answered..
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